In simulation wins, Aston Villa averages 10.3 shots and 3.8 shots on goal. Are you sure you want to delete this comment? 54 mins: Bernard needs to leave the field as quickly as possible. And misses. 55 mins: Mings gives the ball away, and Everton win and quickly waste a good attacking opportunity. You can find our Community Guidelines in full here. Everton 1-1 Aston Villa (Walcott, 88 mins), GOAL! Konsa scores the opener for Villa. 58 mins: Bernard does a not-bad thing, controlling smartly, turning and passing to a man in space. 79 mins: Incredible miss! The England goalkeeper did not help himself when he was almost caught in possession by Samatta moments later as Ancelotti's frustrations grew not just with him but the whole team. The players are back out. El Ghazi’s glaring miss from barely a couple of yards could have settled the nerves, which were jangling when Dominic Calvert-Lewin stabbed wide and Villa hearts were broken when Walcott nodded home to extend an 11-match unbeaten home league record. Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? The Premier League action continues at Selhurst Park, where Crystal Palace play Manchester United. Our journalists will try to respond by joining the threads when they can to create a true meeting of independent Premium. We’re disappointed with the result, but we’re still in it and if we keep fighting the way we are we’ve got a chance of getting out of it. This is the first time they meet, let's wait and see. Aston Villa’s Premier League future hangs by a thread after Theo Walcott’s 87th-minute header meant Dean Smith’s struggling side had to settle for a 1-1 draw at Goodison Park. 90+5 mins: It’s all over. Due to the sheer scale of this comment community, we are not able to give each post the same level of attention, but we have preserved this area in the interests of open debate. Then Douglas Luiz has a pop, but it flies high. 83 mins: There have been 21 shots so far in this game (Villa are 15-6 up). The real issue for Everton lay further forward with them losing the midfield battleground once again, struggling to handle Jack Grealish’s free role coming in off the left. “Villa fan here,” admits David Bertram. Aston Villa's Premier League future hangs by a thread after Theo Walcott's 87th-minute header meant Dean Smith's struggling side had to settle for a 1-1 draw at Goodison Park. As an aside this is torture to watching knowing only a win will do.” It’s pretty painful for fans of Bournemouth and Watford too, I think. The match report will be with you any minute now. For 85 minutes tonight Everton were abysmal. In particular their forwards seem to be playing with little confidence, and some of their midfielders - particularly Andre Gomes - seem to have had a complete abilityectomy. 71 mins: It looks like Sigurdsson and Kean are being readied. I think that’s the 13th officially-recognised shot of the match, none of them on target. What is Keane, by the corner flag and with a Villa forward in close proximity, going to do with that? “I don’t get it. Please be respectful when making a comment and adhere to our Community Guidelines. Everton vs Aston Villa is the most played fixture in English top-flight history, with the Villans winning 74 of the 203 previous meetings to Everton's 76 (53 draws). 45+1 mins: As we go into the first of two minutes of stoppage time, Grealish hits his cross straight to Keane. The existing Open Comments threads will continue to exist for those who do not subscribe to Independent Premium. 45 mins: Bernard fouls Hourihane on the Villa right, and the visitors have a good crossing opportunity. Villa looked to be going down with a whimper by returning from lockdown with four defeats and two draws from the first six games back. 78 mins: Kean smashes a shot goalwards from 30 yards. Iwobi and Bernard trot off, and Walcott and Gordon trot on. The most insightful comments on all subjects will be published daily in dedicated articles. Trezeguet was the match-winner on Sunday and will surely start on the right side of attack in Dean Smith’s starting XI here, with star man Jack Grealish (top assister and scorer in the team with seven and six respectively) reprising his role on the left. pic.twitter.com/bds7DwBS2c. HUGE GOAL Ezri Konsa puts Aston Villa ahead at Goodison Park! It allows our most engaged readers to debate the big issues, share their own experiences, discuss real-world solutions, and more. Aston Villa (w) VS Everton FC (w) will start on . Academy graduate Keinan Davis will compete with January recruit Mbwana Samatta in place of injured striker Wesley, but the pair only have one Premier League goal between them (Samatta back in February). Grealish produces a fabulous cross from the left, which dips over the entire defence and onto the right foot of El Ghazi at the far post. 45+3 mins: An excellent tackle dispossesses Iwobi now, but Villa can’t create a decent chance and that’s the end of the first-halfish action. Heartbreak for Villa as Walcott’s late header denies timely win, You may not agree with our views, or other users’, but please respond to them respectfully, Swearing, personal abuse, racism, sexism, homophobia and other discriminatory or inciteful language is not acceptable, Do not impersonate other users or reveal private information about third parties, We reserve the right to delete inappropriate posts and ban offending users without notification. But that quickly faded and within 15 minutes the momentum had changed with only a mis-hit cross onto the top of the crossbar from Bernard, one of those recalled, to show for that early effort. A draw is priced at a generous 5/2. 74 mins: Richarlison, who has also been terrible, goes off along with Davies, and Sigurdsson and Kean come on. Win a throw-in, as it turns out, but still... 46 mins: Peeeeeep! I thought we deserved the victory and didn’t get it today. A game with only two shots on target ended with two goals, and relegation-haunted Aston Villa letting a precious lead slip in the closing stages, Thu 16 Jul 2020 20.34 BST 90+1 mins: There will be four minutes of stoppage time, or thereabouts. I use the word goalwards in its most approximate sense. 45+2 mins: Samatta clatters into the advertising hoardings, and gets checked over by the physio. But that quickly faded and within 15 minutes the momentum had changed with only a mis-hit cross onto the top of the crossbar from Bernard, one of those recalled, to show for that early effort. 62 mins: Everton make a double switch. He misses again. All rights reserved. 59 mins: Another good Villa cross from the right. 89 mins: Villa push forward again and win a corner, but the referee spots a foul in a packed area, and Everton get a free-kick. El Ghazi's glaring miss from barely a couple of yards could have settled the nerves, which were jangling when Dominic Calvert-Lewin stabbed wide and Villa hearts were broken when Walcott nodded home to extend an 11-match unbeaten home league record. In simulation wins, Aston Villa averages 10.3 shots and 3.8 shots on goal. Overall, the average simulation score is Aston Villa 1.1 to Everton 1.1. We gave them the ball back and invited pressure on. With 18 minutes to go the Italian’s fears were realised as Konsa touched home Conor Hourihane’s cross for only this third club goal. In 10,000 simulations Aston Villa won 32.5%, Everton won 37.3% and there was a 30.2% chance of a draw. But they’ve given themselves a small glimmer of hope, moving within four points of safety from Sunday’s balanced 2-0 victory over out-of-form Crystal Palace. 70 mins: Gordon takes on Elmohamady for pace; the Villa man throws out an arm to hold him off, and gets booked for it. Sky are speculating about when precisely Villa go win-or-bust. The England goalkeeper did not help himself when he was almost caught in possession by Samatta moments later as Ancelotti’s frustrations grew not just with him but the whole team. Start your Independent Premium subscription today. It’s one of those where we want to get close together and make it really hard for them to break us down. 51 mins: Andre Gomes curls in a free-kick from wide on the left, and Calvert-Lewin heads over. 62 mins: Richarlison fouls McGinn on halfway, and is booked. McGinn’s tasty crossfield pass finds Grealish on the left, who cuts onto his right foot, shapes to curl a shot towards the far post and instead goes towards the near. “I’m an Everton fan,” confesses Matt Burtz, “and if Villa can’t beat this Everton team playing the way they’ve played over the last week and a half, they don’t deserve to stay up. Andre Gomes ghosts past Konsa, who falls over, and pulls back to Calvert-Lewin at the near post, but he turns it wide! The lads are devastated in the dressing-room because we deserved more out of the game. 50 mins: Villa are totally owning the start of this half. It was a missed opportunity for the visitors in a generally dire game in which the goals were the only shots on target, which spoke volumes about the current malaise in which both clubs currently find themselves. Aston Villa (w) got 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the past 2 games, and the winning rate is 0%. For the previous 82 minutes we showed really good composure. Watch on Sky Sports PL Follow #EVEAVL here: https://t.co/gOE0QU3V6Z Download the @SkySports app! One of them has been on target. Douglas Luiz of Aston Villa tackles Andre Gomes. Historically, this fixture has tended to yield goals, with Aston Villa’s last six trips to Goodison Park ending in three goals or more. Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti made five changes after labelling Sunday’s defeat at Wolves “unacceptable” and initially it had the desired effect as his side started brightly. He seems to have recovered. They average 2.0 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.4 in simulation losses. As a result Villa, with an inferior goal difference, remain three points from safety which means they realistically have to get something out of next week's visit of Arsenal if they are to take it to a potential last-day decider at West Ham. Keane, wide on the right and getting closed down by Samatta, passes to Pickford, and the keeper gives it right back again. Aston Villa are fighting for their lives and have shown some signs of improvement of late, but Everton are a tough nut to crack at Goodison Park under Ancelotti, undefeated in their last ten home matches in the Premier League. “Everton fan here,” admits Mary Waltz. Over 2.5 goals is available at 10/11, although it’s worth keeping in mind this is Villa’s first visit since a 4-0 drubbing in November 2015. As a result Villa, with an inferior goal difference, remain three points from safety which means they realistically have to get something out of next week’s visit of Arsenal if they are to take it to a potential last-day decider at West Ham. Everton are pushing for a winner here. 64 mins: Villa also do a double substitution. We recommend backing a draw here. Villa’s captain was at the heart of the most incisive passing moves and had the best chance of the first half, robbing Andre Gomes before having a shot deflected over, while dragging wide early in the second. and the winning rate is 38%. “Grealish is clearly an outstanding player but I think the real steal when we go down is Luiz who has been quality since we’ve been back. 61 mins: Decent build-up from Everton (Bernard again involved), and it ends up with Richarlison, whose control is so bad he decides to pretend it was a pass to Calvert-Lewin, and Villa intercept.
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